In partnership with
😳 Microsoft Is Crashing — Is This the Deal of the Year or a Sign to Run?
If you had told me three months ago that Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) — yes, mighty Microsoft — would tumble over 20% from its all-time highs, I would have laughed you out of the room.
But here we are.
As of today, Microsoft is sitting at $380.16, a price we haven’t seen since January 2024, and what’s even crazier? It’s now below its 200-day EMA, a key technical indicator that institutional traders watch like hawks.
So let me ask you:
👉 Is this a screaming buy — or the beginning of a much bigger fall?
👉 Should you buy the dip, wait it out, or cut and run?
Let me break it down and share exactly how I’m playing this move — and what you should watch next if you don’t want to miss the boat on one of the biggest AI players in the market.
🔥 Why Is Microsoft Falling? Here Are 3 Reasons Nobody’s Telling You
1️⃣ Microsoft’s AI Spending Spree Is Spooking Wall Street
Here’s the thing — Microsoft is all in on AI, which is great for long-term growth, but Wall Street hates uncertainty in the short term.
💰 $80 billion. That’s how much Microsoft plans to invest in AI in 2025 alone. Last quarter, they burned through $15.8 billion in capex just for AI and cloud infrastructure.
Investors are now asking:
"Will all this spending actually pay off — or is Microsoft lighting money on fire trying to beat Google and Amazon in AI?"
Right now, the market isn’t buying the story — and the stock is paying the price.
2️⃣ AI Rivals Are Gaining Ground — Fast
If you think Microsoft has AI all locked up, think again.
💥 DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has come out swinging, showing that AI can be developed faster and cheaper than anyone thought possible.
Suddenly, Microsoft’s $80 billion bet on AI looks riskier — especially if cheaper, faster alternatives hit the market.
3️⃣ The Whole Tech Market Is Tanking — and Microsoft Got Caught in the Storm
Tech stocks just lost $759 billion in market cap in a historic meltdown. Even the giants — Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia — got hit hard.
Microsoft alone dropped 3.3% in a single session, proving that even the strongest names aren’t safe when markets get jittery.
📉 Technical Breakdown: Microsoft Is Below 200 EMA and Sitting on Support
Now let’s get into the chart — because this is where things get really interesting.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
📊 Current Price: $380.16
📊 200-Day Moving Average (EMA): $423.76 — MSFT is below this key line for the first time since 2022!
📊 Key Support Zone: $380–$388 — a level we haven’t touched since January 2024.
📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index): 39.78 — hovering just above oversold.
👉 Translation? We’re sitting on a massive support level that could hold — but if it breaks, expect a quick dive to the next floor.
Before we dive deeper into Microsoft’s setup, here’s something for investors looking to diversify beyond the stock market. RYSE is a fast-growing company in the booming smart home automation space, giving everyday investors a shot at equity in a high-potential tech firm. If you’ve ever thought about investing in the next big thing in smart living and IoT, check out RYSE’s investment opportunity here.
Big Tech Has Spent Billions Acquiring AI Smart Home Startups
The pattern is clear: when innovative companies successfully integrate AI into everyday products, tech giants pay billions to acquire them.
Google paid $3.2B for Nest.
Amazon spent $1.2B on Ring.
Generac spent $770M on EcoBee.
Now, a new AI-powered smart home company is following their exact path to acquisition—but is still available to everyday investors at just $1.90 per share.
With proprietary technology that connects window coverings to all major AI ecosystems, this startup has achieved what big tech wants most: seamless AI integration into daily home life.
Over 10 patents, 200% year-over-year growth, and a forecast to 5x revenue this year — this company is moving fast to seize the smart home opportunity.
The acquisition pattern is predictable. The opportunity to get in before it happens is not.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Email may contain forward-looking statements. See US Offering for details. Informational purposes only.
💥 What I’m Doing — and What You Should Consider
Alright, let’s cut to the chase. Here’s exactly how I’m playing this and what I recommend for you depending on your risk profile.
✅ 1. Watch for a Bounce at $380 — and Pounce If It Holds
If MSFT holds $380 and starts to reverse, I’m buying, no questions asked.
💡 Why? This level has acted as support before, and if it holds, it signals the market still believes in Microsoft's AI future.
⏳ If you’re waiting for the perfect time — this might be it. But watch for volume confirmation.
✅ 2. Dollar-Cost Average (DCA) — Especially for Long-Term Bulls
If you believe in Microsoft over the next 5–10 years (and I do), start DCA-ing now and buy more if it dips further.
📉 Remember: The best gains are made when others are fearful — and fear is off the charts right now.
✅ 3. Set a Stop Loss Below $370 If You’re Cautious
If you don’t like risk?
Set a hard stop loss at $370 — because if MSFT breaks below that, we could see a fast move to $350 or even lower.
⚠️ Here’s Why You Can’t Ignore This Setup
Think about this:
👉 How often do you get to buy Microsoft near a 20% discount — while AI adoption is only ramping up?
👉 How many times do we see it sitting under its 200 EMA — a level pros use to load up?
Not often. This is one of those rare moments that could make you look like a genius 12 months from now — or a regretful spectator if you sit on the sidelines.
So what side of that line do you want to be on?
🔥 Final Verdict: Am I Buying Microsoft?
YES — but strategically.
💥 I’m watching $380 like a sniper.
💥 I’m buying a small position now and adding if we bounce.
💥 And if it drops under $370? I’ll pause and reassess.
Because let me be clear:
Microsoft isn’t just another tech stock.
It’s one of the biggest AI players in the world.
It’s partnered with OpenAI (ChatGPT) and leads the charge on enterprise AI.
And it’s still generating massive free cash flow — even with all this AI spending.
✅ TL;DR — Microsoft’s Big Fall, Big Opportunity:
✔️ MSFT down 20% — sitting on key $380 support.
✔️ Below 200 EMA — a level pros watch for entries.
✔️ AI spending causing short-term pain — but long-term massive upside.
✔️ My move: Watch $380, DCA, set $370 stop loss if cautious.
✔️ Rare chance to buy a dominant AI player on a deep discount.
This might just be the best chance you get to own Microsoft this cheap — don’t say I didn’t warn you.
📢 Found these insights valuable? Elevate your investing game by subscribing to our blog for more in-depth analysis, strategies, and market trends. Stay ahead with expert tips and refine your portfolio. Share this post with friends interested in the stock market and let's build a smarter investing community together!
Disclaimer: The content on this blog is for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, including the loss of principal. The views expressed here are solely those of the author and do not represent any company or organization. Readers should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any financial decisions. The author and publisher are not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
