🚨 CrowdStrike Just Grew Revenue 25% — But Is It Still a Buy Before June’s Earnings?

If you've been watching CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) like a hawk — just like I have — you're probably wondering: Should I double down, hold, or run for the hills?

With CRWD closed at $353.74 as of March 16, 2025, and a ton of conflicting signals out there, this stock is standing at a critical crossroad. And let me be real — miss these insights and you might leave serious money on the table (or worse, watch it disappear).

Today, I’m breaking down 7 brutally honest truths about CrowdStrike that every investor needs to know — including what to expect from their next earnings and my own trade setup if you're thinking about getting in.

Let’s get to it.

🔥 1. First, Here's Where CrowdStrike Stands (Right Now)

• Current Price: $361.80

• 52-Week Range: $117.00 - $366.17 (yes, it hit new highs last week!)

• Market Cap: ~$86.5 billion

• Recent Volume: 1.89 million shares

CrowdStrike has been on a crazy run this past year — more than tripling from its lows. But here’s the thing: are those gains sustainable?

💥 2. Last Earnings? Blew Past Estimates — but There’s a Catch

Let’s talk Q4 earnings (announced on March 4, 2025):

• EPS: $1.03 (beat expectations of $0.86!)

• Revenue: $1.06 billion (up 25% YoY and beating estimates)

Sounds great, right? Well, not so fast.

Management guided DOWN for next quarter. They expect:

• EPS of $0.64 to $0.66 (vs. Wall Street expectations of $0.95)

• Full-year EPS forecast: $3.33 to $3.45 (vs. Street's $4.40)

💣 Translation: Management is clearly worried about costs and market headwinds.

💡 3. Why the Caution? Blame the July 2024 Software Meltdown

Remember that massive July 2024 outage caused by a botched software update?

• $21 million in costs last quarter

• $73 million more expected this quarter

• $43 million in customer retention "damage control"

👉 Bottom line: That incident isn’t over, and it's eating into profits — hard.

⚔️ 4. What About Competition? Is CRWD Still King of Cybersecurity?

Look, CrowdStrike is still one of the top dogs, but let’s be honest — the fight is heating up.

• Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is eating market share.

• SentinelOne (S) is innovating fast with AI-driven solutions.

• Zscaler is aggressively expanding.

🧠 Smart investors need to ask: Can CrowdStrike keep its edge in endpoint security, or will it lose out as AI reshapes the game?

📅 5. Next Earnings (June 3, 2025) — What You Need to Prepare For

Mark this date: June 3, 2025.

Analysts are expecting:

• EPS of $0.66 — down from $0.93 in the same quarter last year.

⚠️ Warning: If CrowdStrike misses this low bar, expect a sharp correction. But if they beat and guide higher? We could see a rally past $370+ in days.

🛡️ 6. My Trade Setup: How I’m Playing CrowdStrike (Exact Numbers)

Here’s what I’m doing:

• Watchlist Buy Trigger: $370 breakout (if we close a day above this on strong volume, I’m buying — targeting $400).

• Add-on Level: $385 on momentum.

• Stop Loss: $340 (no questions asked — risk management is everything).

• Aggressive Buy (Pullback): If CRWD falls to $340-$345 but holds support, I’ll scale in for a bounce trade.

🎯 Target: $400 near term, and $450 longer term if earnings come strong and AI wins boost valuation.

Risk-Reward setup?

• Risk: ~$20 downside

• Reward: $40 to $90 upside

Verdict: That’s a 2:1 to 4:1 setup. Not bad at all.

🚀 7. Key Takeaways — Should You Buy, Hold, or Run?

Let me shoot straight:

✅ If you’re holding CRWD long-term — stay put, but hedge with stop losses (maybe sell covered calls?).

⚠️ If you’re thinking of buying now — WAIT for either a confirmed breakout ($370+) or a deep pullback ($340 zone).

❌ Avoid blind chasing here — too much priced in, and next earnings could swing this stock hard.

💰 Final Thoughts: Why You Need to Pay Attention to CRWD Now

CrowdStrike is at a pivotal moment:

• Massive growth story ✔️

• But real risks ahead (outage aftermath, slowing EPS) ❗

The cybersecurity space is hot — but hot sectors get hit hard when expectations aren't met.

If you’ve made money on CRWD — congrats! But now's the time to think smart, not greedy.

⚡ Key Stats Recap (March 16, 2025):

• 📈 Price: $353.74

• 🧮 P/E Ratio: ~105x (forward)

• 💰 Market Cap: ~$86.5 billion

• 📆 Next Earnings: June 3, 2025

• 🔥 Sector: Cybersecurity, AI-driven endpoint security

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