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  • 🛑 14% Down in One Day: Why I’m Holding Lululemon (And What Most Investors Are Missing)

🛑 14% Down in One Day: Why I’m Holding Lululemon (And What Most Investors Are Missing)

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Lululemon just erased $10 billion in market cap in a single day.

Investors are panicking. Headlines are screaming. And if you’re holding LULU right now, you’re probably wondering:

“Should I sell before it drops more?”
Here’s my honest answer: I’m not selling. I’m holding — and maybe even buying more.

Let me explain why.👇

👕 1. Lululemon Isn’t Just a Yoga Brand Anymore

Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) has evolved far beyond its yoga-studio roots.

From innovative fabrics like Luon and Nulu, to cutting-edge men’s performance wear and high-end athleisure, this company has become a global premium lifestyle brand.

And their numbers back that up:

  • 🧍‍♀️ 40% of sales now come from non-yoga categories

  • 💪 Men’s segment has doubled in 3 years

  • 🌍 30+ countries, with China revenue up 67% YoY

Lulu isn’t just selling leggings. They’re selling status. And in the retail game, brand is everything.

📰 2. The Crash: What Just Happened?

LULU plunged 14% on March 28, 2025, after issuing weaker-than-expected guidance.

But let’s dig deeper:

  • 📉 Forecasted 2025 revenue: $11.15B–$11.3B (vs expectations of $11.5B)

  • 😬 Cited “cautious consumer spending” due to macro concerns

  • 🇨🇳 Tariff fears under a second Trump presidency also rattled sentiment

So yes, the stock fell — but not because the business is broken. It was a guidance haircut, not a fundamental collapse.

💡 Fun fact: Lululemon’s stock dropped 16% in March 2020.
Within 18 months, it more than doubled.

History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes.

💰 3. Let’s Talk Numbers (Because Feelings Don’t Pay the Bills)

Here’s what Q4 2024 looked like:

Metric

Result

YoY Change

Revenue

$3.6B

+13%

Net Income

$748.8M

+12%

EPS

$6.14

+16%

Comp Sales (adj)

+3%

Slower

👉 The numbers were good, not great. But far from bad.

Even more impressive?

  • Gross margins held strong at 58.2%

  • E-commerce sales grew 17%

  • Inventory growth was below sales growth = healthy ops

So why the freakout?

Expectations.

Wall Street expected a blowout. Instead, they got solid. And in today’s AI-hyped market, solid isn’t sexy.

But here’s the thing…

📊 4. What Are Analysts Saying?

This is where the authority bias kicks in.

  • 💬 Truist Securities maintained a Buy rating but trimmed price target

  • 💬 Jefferies sees international expansion as the key upside catalyst

  • 💬 Out of 32 analysts:

    • 23 say Buy

    • 7 say Hold

    • 2 say Sell

The average 12-month target? $365 — that’s a 24% upside from today’s $293 close.

Oh, and insiders? Haven’t sold a share in months.

When smart money holds or adds… I pay attention.

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🌎 5. The Outlook: Still Running Strong

Lululemon isn’t retreating — they’re expanding.

  • 🏪 Planning 40–45 new stores in 2025

  • 🌏 Most of them in China, where they’re dominating premium fitness wear

  • 🧘‍♀️ New “BeCalm” and “Glow Up” lines to recapture female lifestyle spend

  • 📦 Inventory is lean. Store traffic is solid. E-comm is scaling fast.

Yes, consumer spending is cautious.

But you know what happens when that turns around?
Premium brands rebound the fastest.

Think Apple in 2009. Nike in 2017. Lululemon in 2020.

🧠 My Final Verdict: HOLD (And Maybe Even Buy the Dip)

This isn’t a falling knife. It’s a healthy, cash-flowing, global brand that just got re-priced because of cautious guidance.

If you’re already holding, stay the course.

If you’re thinking of buying? Start a position — don’t go all-in — but don’t sleep either.

Because when LULU recovers (and I believe it will), this week will look like a gift.

💭 Final Thought

You’ll either look back and say:

“I bought LULU when it dipped to $290…”

Or

“I watched it rebound 40% from the sidelines.”

The difference?
One decision. One click. One moment of patience.

Make it count.

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Disclaimer: The content on this blog is for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended as financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, including the loss of principal. The views expressed here are solely those of the author and do not represent any company or organization. Readers should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any financial decisions. The author and publisher are not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.

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